Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.374204 0.408034 0.444510 0.486928 0.535104 0.588364 0.652035
2025-08-17 0.311758 0.357709 0.410920 0.477777 0.560519 0.660892 0.793968
2025-08-24 0.274383 0.325644 0.387935 0.470551 0.579369 0.720989 0.924857
2025-08-31 0.247891 0.301780 0.369710 0.463697 0.593856 0.773436 1.051018
2025-09-07 0.231896 0.288635 0.362510 0.468686 0.622675 0.847237 1.219520
2025-09-14 0.214335 0.271388 0.347567 0.460412 0.630314 0.889756 1.346537
2025-09-21 0.201870 0.259685 0.338715 0.459174 0.647199 0.947640 1.509949
2025-09-28 0.187580 0.244245 0.323119 0.446048 0.643495 0.970794 1.615369
2025-10-05 0.183351 0.242479 0.326722 0.461903 0.687437 1.080409 1.911502
2025-10-12 0.178246 0.238976 0.327311 0.472824 0.724196 1.183156 2.223420
2025-10-19 0.171250 0.232171 0.322301 0.474036 0.743961 1.257052 2.493946
2025-10-26 0.161654 0.220897 0.309607 0.461300 0.736965 1.276793 2.640474
2025-11-02 0.152163 0.209520 0.296415 0.447291 0.727306 1.292264 2.789661
2025-11-09 0.144638 0.200796 0.286954 0.439052 0.727944 1.330541 3.017974
2025-11-16 0.138137 0.193288 0.278938 0.432605 0.731209 1.375183 3.283536
2025-11-23 0.132244 0.186409 0.271494 0.426496 0.734325 1.420026 3.570156
2025-11-30 0.128841 0.183262 0.269963 0.430943 0.759538 1.522531 4.101099
2025-12-07 0.123513 0.176767 0.262427 0.423566 0.758825 1.560486 4.422054
2025-12-14 0.119679 0.172493 0.258395 0.422463 0.771548 1.636020 4.936352
2025-12-21 0.114288 0.165443 0.249219 0.410748 0.759304 1.641940 5.163266
2025-12-28 0.113552 0.165980 0.253169 0.424896 0.807526 1.827876 6.353159
2026-01-04 0.112110 0.165261 0.254842 0.434630 0.846880 1.999603 7.661878
2026-01-11 0.109427 0.162325 0.252381 0.435709 0.865415 2.112320 8.771141